Oslo energy storage new energy prices

Will fossil fuel costs affect electricity prices in Norway in 2040?

Electricity prices remain strongly affected by fossil fuel costs to 2040. The 2040 power price in Norway is modelled to be 39 ± 4 €/MWh. Market value of Norwegian hydropower is 34% higher than the average power price. Seasonal patterns for solar PV give <3% probability of revenues higher than the LCOE.

How much does power cost in Norway?

The mean annual Norwegian power price from the Monte Carlo simulations is estimated to be 39 ± 4 €/MWh and long-term price levels below 23 €/MWh or above 50 €/MWh seem highly unlikely in an average weather year.

How much electricity does Norway produce in 2021?

In 2021, Norway had an electricity production of 157 TWh, of which 91% was from hydropower, 8% from onshore wind, and <1% from thermal sources (NVE, 2021b). This shows that the Norwegian generation mix is already dominated by renewable energy. In normal weather years, Norway exports around 19 TWh of electricity to neighbouring countries.

What is the power price in Norway in 2040?

The 2040 power price in Norway is modelled to be 39 ± 4 €/MWh. Market value of Norwegian hydropower is 34% higher than the average power price. Seasonal patterns for solar PV give <3% probability of revenues higher than the LCOE. On/offshore wind has a 50%/1% probability of having revenues higher than the LCOE.

Will Norwegian power prices remain moderate in the future?

The finding in this study suggests that Norwegian power prices are likely to remain moderate and that summer price will be relatively low in the future North European power market. Onshore wind is more likely to exceed its LCOE – its market value exceeded the mean LCOE in 50% of the simulations.

What is the price effect of increasing hydropower capacity in Norway?

Generation capacity The price effect of increasing the installed capacity in Norway is between −0.03 €/MWh and − 0.69 €/MWh per GW of additional capacity, depending on the technology. The highest price sensitivity is observed for increased capacity of highly flexible hydropower plants.