Analysis of energy storage battery demand in automobile factories

What will China's battery energy storage system look like in 2030?

Battery energy storage systems (BESS) will have a CAGR of 30 percent, and the GWh required to power these applications in 2030 will be comparable to the GWh needed for all applications today. China could account for 45 percent of total Li-ion demand in 2025 and 40 percent in 2030—most battery-chain segments are already mature in that country.

Do battery demand forecasts underestimate the market size?

Just as analysts tend to underestimate the amount of energy generated from renewable sources, battery demand forecasts typically underestimate the market size and are regularly corrected upwards.

How is the global battery market advancing?

The global battery market is advancing rapidly as demand rises sharply and prices continue to decline. In 2024, as electric car sales rose by 25% to 17 million, annual battery demand surpassed 1 terawatt-hour (TWh) – a historic milestone.

What is the share of imports in the US for EV batteries?

The share of imports remains relatively large in the United States, meeting more than 30% of EV battery demand. The majority of battery demand for EVs today can be met with domestic or regional production in China, Europe and the United States.

How much lithium ion battery does a car use a year?

In the past five years, over 2 000 GWh of lithium-ion battery capacity has been added worldwide, powering 40 million electric vehicles and thousands of battery storage projects. EVs accounted for over 90% of battery use in the energy sector, with annual volumes hitting a record of more than 750 GWh in 2023 – mostly for passenger cars.

Why do analysts underestimate battery demand?

Analysts tend to underestimate battery demand for the same reason they often underestimate renewable energy generation: they fail to anticipate the pace of technological advancements and market adoption. This is driven largely by the imperative to reduce climate change through electrification of mobility and the broader energy transition.